COST
Costco Wholesale Corp.
DCF, Comps &
Scenario Analysis

DCF and comparable company analysis against Walmart, Target, and Amazon, with a staged membership-fee growth model incorporating a projected FY2030 fee increase, wrapped in a toggle-driven bear/base/bull sensitivity framework.

7.58% WACC (Revised) Score: 8.0 / 10 after 3 review rounds

Key Assumptions

  • Comps set: Walmart, Target, Amazon
  • Staged membership-fee increase modelled into FY2030
  • WACC revised to 7.58% across review cycles

Deliverables

  • Full DCF with football-field valuation range
  • Interactive HTML dashboard: scenario toggles, sensitivity tables, football field chart
  • Bear / Base / Bull cases built into the live view, not just static tables
ScenarioMembership Fee GrowthRelative Valuation
BearDelayed increaseLower bound of range
BaseFY2030 increase as guidedMid-point
BullEarlier / larger increaseUpper bound of range
Open Interactive Dashboard ↗ Download Model (.xlsx) ← Back to Coverage